Renewal amid the decay

2013 will strengthen NATO and EU-US ties and weaken the Russian president.

The safest prediction for 2013 is rather boring: it will be quite like 2012. That means no outright disasters, but the steady decay of past certainties. The magnetic power of the European Union fades; NATO’s members starve it of money; the gap between Europe’s rulers and ruled widens; Russia’s descent into autocracy and xenophobia continues.

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